November 30th, 2015: SP-500 EOD Update
Posted by pugsma on November 30, 2015
5:10pm EST: The 5-min chart looks like a bull flag off the Nov 25th, SPX 2094 high. Target is 2094 + (2094-2081) = 2107.
The primary (red) count is that Primary B (PB) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave topped at 2116 and has begun the Primary C (PC) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave headed to the 1575 target area. This first minor 1 of major [1]-PC wave completed at the 2019 pivot. The minor 2 of major [1] bounce should end at the 78%/88% Fib retrace of 2095/2104. After wave minor 2 completes, wave minor 3 should drop below 1991 pivot to the 1926/1905 pivot area, where minor 3 = 2.0*minor 1. The red count remains valid as long as the minor 2 of major [1] wave remains below the PB high of 2116.
The alternate (blue) count is that Primary 5 (P5) of Cycle 1 (C1) has one more push up above the 2135 level coming of the Primary 4 (P4) low of 1867 from August. The 2116 level was the major [3]-P5 high and the drop from 2116 to 2019 is a typical 38% retrace (2023) for the major [4]-P5 wave. Wave major [5] is underway from 2019 and should reach at least to the double bottom target of 2170 or the P5=0.5*P1 target at 2219. Within major [5] there should be 5 minor waves higher. Minor 1 of major [5] completed at 2097 and wave minor 2 retraced 38% to 2070 thus far. If minor 2 did not complete at 207o, then minor 2 might need to drop to the 50% retrace of 2058. Once minor 2 is complete and minor 3 is underway, then minor 3 will make a new high above 2135, where minor 3 = 1.38*minor 1 at 2178. The blue count remains valid as long as the minor 2 of major [5] wave remains above the major [4] low of 2019.
SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):
SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):
SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):
SP-500 daily chart (EOD):
SP-500 weekly chart (EOD):
Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.
You must be logged in to post a comment.