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OK I wanted to get this out to all subscribers not just the 2021 CCA subscriber. I’ve been pretty bullish on traditional energy (XLE) since the March low. And I do think XLE could run a little higher toward the 49.43 pivot yet this year. However, when I step back and looked more closely at the monthly and weekly charts of XLE, I think this move up the 49.43 pivot area is only a bounce from a long-term view. There is likely much more pain ahead for XLE as green energy companies take more market share.
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11:45 am EST: XLE has formed a positive divergence (+DIV) on the daily RSI and STO with respect to a small bull flag drop in closing price over the past week. The bull flag measures to about 71.50, which is near the 50-day SMA (72.36).
Posted in XLE | Tagged: XLE Technical Analysis | Comments Off on February 22nd, 2018: XLE (Energy Daily) Chart Update
12:25 pm EST: XLE has now retraced the entire post-election move up from 67.00 to 78.45. There is potential positive divergence (+DIV) on the daily chart MACD. It’s now or never for XLE at 67.0. If 67.0 holds and it breaks above 71.49, then it could test the 80.90 pivot. If 67.0 fails, then it’s likely headed back it’s back to revisit January 2016 low at 49.93.
On the XLE 60-min chart there is a potential Short-Term (ST) Inverse Head and Shoulders (IHS) with a target of 76.63 with right shoulder now forming above the 72.0 area.
On the XLE daily chart there is a MACD bull-cross with a potential Long-Term (LT) Inverse Head and Shoulders (IHS) with a target of 93.95.
XLE price has reached a critical support area here at 70.65 if the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IHS) pattern is play out to significantly higher highs into the end of year 2017. XLE price has already bounced from 70.65 up to 71.85 turning positive for the day. Good chance that a daily bullish hammer candle will form on XLE, which often sets a key bottom.
