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Archive for the ‘Premium’ Category
December 5th, 2025: QQQ Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 5, 2025
Posted in IWM, Premium | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, QQQ Technical Analysis | Comments Off on December 5th, 2025: QQQ Chart Update
December 5th, 2025: IWM Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 5, 2025
IWM 15-min chart: IWM 60-min chart: IWM daily chart: IWM weekly chart:
Posted in IWM, Premium | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, IWM Technical Analysis | Comments Off on December 5th, 2025: IWM Chart Update
December 4th, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 4, 2025
5:00 pm EST: The SP500 gapped up from 6850 to 6861, quickly hit 6866 (day’s high), dropped to 6827 (day’s low) and then rallied to close at 6857. Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term) Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com ZBT: A new ZBT is in play: On Thursday, Nov 20th the ZBT close be 0.40. […]
Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, IWM Technical Analysis, QQQ Technical Analysis, SP-500 Technical Analysis | Comments Off on December 4th, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
December 3rd, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 3, 2025
4:35 pm EST: The SP500 gapped down from 6828 to 6816, quickly hit 6810 (day’s low), then rallied the rest of the day to hit 6862 (day’s high) and closed at 6850. Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term) Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com ZBT: A new ZBT is in play: On Thursday, Nov 20th the […]
Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, IWM Technical Analysis, QQQ Technical Analysis, SP-500 Technical Analysis | Comments Off on December 3rd, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
December 2nd, 2025: BTC Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 2, 2025
BTC daily chart:
Posted in BTC, Premium | Tagged: BTC Technical Analysis, Elliott Wave Technical Analysis | Comments Off on December 2nd, 2025: BTC Chart Update
December 2nd, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 2, 2025
4:00 pm EST: The SP500 gapped up from 6812 to 6830, rose to hit 6851 (day’s high), sold-off to hit 6806 (day’s low), then rallied to 6842 and closed at 6828. Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term) Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com SP500 Buy Signal (VIX): On Thursday, Nov 20th, the VIX Sell/SP500 Buy triggered […]
Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, IWM Technical Analysis, QQQ Technical Analysis, SP-500 Technical Analysis | Comments Off on December 2nd, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
December 1st, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 1, 2025
10:40 am EST: The SP500 gapped down from 6849 to 6812, sold-off to hit 6800, rallied to 6832… Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term) Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com SP500 Buy Signal (VIX): On Thursday, Nov 20th, the VIX Sell/SP500 Buy triggered with the VIX closing above its upper BB. On Friday, Nov 21st the […]
Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, IWM Technical Analysis, QQQ Technical Analysis, SP-500 Technical Analysis | Comments Off on December 1st, 2025: SP-500, QQQ and IWM Chart Update
November 26th, 2025: NVDA Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on November 26, 2025
NVDA daily chart (EOD 11-25-25):
Posted in NVDA, Premium | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, NVDA Technical Analysis | 1 Comment »
November 25th, 2025: SP-500 Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on November 25, 2025
3:10 pm EST: The SP500 opened flat from 6604, sold-off to hit 6660 (day’s low), rallied to 6760 (day’s high) and closed at …
Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term) Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com
- SP500 Buy Signal (VIX): On Thursday, Nov 20th, the VIX Sell/SP500 Buy triggered with the VIX closing above its upper BB. On Friday, Nov 21st the VIX closed back below its upper to confirm the second step 2. The VIX to closed red on Monday, Nov 24th to nail the final confirming step 3.
- SP500 Buy Signal (SP500 BB): On Thursday, Nov 20th the SP500 closed below its lower BB and triggered its SP500 Buy signal. On Friday, Nov 21st, the SP500 closed above its lower BB to confirming the signal.
- SP500 Buy Signal ($NYMO): On Thursday, Nov 20th, the $NYMO just missed closing below its lower BB at -66.07 vs -66.88. Thus, no Trifecta SP500 Buy signal (only 2 of 3).
- ZBT: A new ZBT is in play: On Thursday, Nov 20th the ZBT close be 0.40. In now has 10 trading days (until Monday, Dec 8th) to close above 0.615. !BINYBT | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
- “Q4 has never been lower when the S&P 500 makes a new all-time high in the usually weak months of August and September, along with at least one in October. This bodes well for continued strength in 2025.” Average Q4 gain is +6.8%. September 30th closed at 6687. Thus, Q4 should close above 6687 and if it reaches the average +6.8% gain that implies a target at 7141 by Dec 31st, 2025.
https://x.com/ryandetrick/status/1974200732791550228?s=46&t=gg5AXDQK37ob5YJ37ot1dw - Hindenburg Omen (HO): The HO Signal was triggered on both Wednesday, Oct 30th and Thursday, October 31st. Since the year 2018 (last 30 HO’s), the 2-month SP500 return is a -6% (target of 6412 by Dec 30th) with 80% probability AFTER a HO. John ProV1 👨💻 on X: “@Barchart Hindenburg Omen History https://t.co/pXfTNZzbuV” / X Two more HO’s were triggered on Nov 5th and Nov 6th. That’s 4 HO’s in the past 8 trading days. History shows that clusters of HO’s (more than 3 within 30 days) tend to strengthen the cased for a more significant (more than -5%) pull-back. Subu Trade on X: “Another Hindenburg Omen triggered today. This is the 4th signal since last week. The cluster of Hindenburg Omens grows… 🚨 https://t.co/3he9DwpSZ7” / X Overall history shows the HO is only about 25% accurate in predicting a significant correction of > -10%
Key Technical Indicators (Intermediate to Long-Term):
- Back-to-Back +20% Years (2023 & 2024): Since ’50, 21 times S&P 500 was up 20% (price only, so not total return) and next yr higher 81.0% of time and up 10.6% on avg. After back-to-back 20% yrs? Up 20.0% on avg and higher 4 out of 4. Avg yr up 9.5% (target 6440) and higher 72.0% of time. https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/187595896308022519
- The 4-year Presidential Cycle: Seasonality has been spot-on since the mid-term lows in late 2022
The first quarter (Q1-2025) of the first year of a new President is typically a sideways to slightly down move. Then in Q2, Q3, and Q4 of year 1, the SP500 tends to head higher.
https://x.com/granthawkridge/status/1886341941987598847?s=46&t=gg5AXDQK37ob5YJ37ot1dw - Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT, April 24th, 2025): ZBT was confirmed on Thursday, April 24th!!! This is extremely Bullish for the SP500 in the 6 month and 12 month time frames. Historically Up 100% of the time (16 of 16 cases) by +16.3% (SP500 6379 by Oct 24, 2025) and +23.8% (SP500 6790 by April 24th, 2026). Link the SP500 performance AFTER a ZTB: https://x.com/SubuTrade/status/1915492957882405235
Wave Count(s):
- The primary (white/green) wave count is that the P5 wave up is underway with the P5=1.23P1 target at 8086. The major [1]-P5 wave will have 5 minor degree waves. The minor 1 wave up of major [1]-P5 completed at 5481. The minor 2 wave completed at 5102, just above the 62% Fib of 5080. The minor 3 wave reached 6920. The minor 4 wave played out as a minor (a)-(b)-(c) zig-zag. The minute (a) of minor 4 low was at 6631 and minute (b) wave of minor 4 completed at 6870. The minute (c) of minor 4 is complete at 6522. The minor 5 wave up is underway move above 6920 toward the minor 5=1.23minor 1 target of 7317. Note: The primary (white/green) count is valid above 6522 and must break above 6770 to confirm.
House Keeping: This is the final blog post until after the long Thanksgiving Holiday weekend. The next blog post will be on Monday, December 1st.
Enjoy the Thanksgiving Holiday weekend with Friends and Family!
SP-500 15-min chart:
SP-500 60-min chart:
SP-500 daily chart:
SP-500 weekly chart:
SP-500 monthly chart:
Posted in Premium, SP-500 | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, SP-500 Technical Analysis | Comments Off on November 25th, 2025: SP-500 Chart Update
November 25th, 2025: QQQ Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on November 25, 2025
QQQ 15-min chart:
QQQ 60-min chart:
QQQ daily chart:
QQQ weekly chart:
Posted in Premium, QQQ | Tagged: Elliott Wave Technical Analysis, QQQ Technical Analysis | Comments Off on November 25th, 2025: QQQ Chart Update
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