November 22nd, 2023: SP-500, IWM and QQQ Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on November 22, 2023
1:40 pm EST: The SP500 gapped up from 4538 to 4553, quickly hit 4568 (day’s high), dropped to 4545 (day’s low), rose to 4564, then traded sideways…
Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term) Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com
- Chart Pattern: A potential bullish Inverse Head & Shoulders (IHS) Pattern as formed with head at 4104, neckline at 4393 and target at 4682. This pattern was confirmed with the move above 4393 on Friday, Nov 10th!
Key Technical Indicators (Intermediate to Long-Term):
- Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
- 200-day SMA at 3940 (3-8-23): The SP-500 closed above a rising 200-day SMA (3940) for the first time since April 2022.
- Zweig Breadth Trust (ZBT) (3-31-23 and again on 11-3-23): The ZBT signal triggered on Friday, 3-31-23 and again on Friday, 11-3-23. This ZBT signal historically has produced an average SP500 of +24% over the next year with 100% probability!
- Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT): The ZBT signal fired at the close today, Nov 3rd, 2023. This is very bullish long-term signal. ZBT Chart 25 Year Link: !BINYBT | SharpCharts | StockCharts.com
- SP500 Seasonality: The past 20-year seasonality shows a July peak, August/September consolidation and then a continued rally into the end of the year.
Wave Count(s):
- The primary (white/green) count is that major [1]-P3-C3 peaked at 4607 in late July and this -11% correction to 4104 is the major [2] wave, which end just above the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 4049. Friday, Oct 27th low at 4104 is the major [2] low. The minor 1 of major [3] target is the 4819 all-time high. Within minor 1, minute (1) completed at 4391. The minute (2) completed as an expanded flat wave at 4344. Wave (3) up is underway to levels above the late July high of 4607. The wave (3)=1.38(1) target is at 4740. Withing wave minute (3) wave i-(3) completed at 4557. Next up should be a small wave ii-(3) pull-back to 4508/4480/4451 (23%/38%/50% Fib) that looks to be playing out as an expanded flat wave. Once wave ii-(3) concludes, wave iii-(3) should move above 4607 towards the iii=1.23i target at 4712. Note: The primary (white/green) wave count is valid above 4344.
House Keeping: Thursday, Nov 23rd is the Thanksgiving Holiday with US Market closed. Friday, Nov 24th is shorten, half-day market day and there will be no blog post. The next blog post will be made on Monday, Nov 27th.
Have a great long Thanksgiving Holiday weekend!
SP-500 15-min chart:
SP-500 60-min chart:
SP-500 daily chart:
IWM 60-min chart:
IWM daily chart:
QQQ 60-min chart:
QQQ daily chart:
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