December 29th, 2022: SP-500 Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on December 29, 2022
12:30 pm EST: The SP-500 gapped up from 3783 to 3805, rose steadily to 3857…
P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Targets for P2-C3:
- 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (3492 Oct 2022)
- 62% Fib of Price and Time is at 3190 and 13 months (Jan to Feb 2023).
Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term) Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com
- Chart Pattern (12-13-2022): Double Top at 4100, neckline at 3906 and target at 3712 (Hit 3764 on Dec 22nd)
- NYMO (12-28-22): The NYMO put in a ST +DIV over the pass 2-weeks with a a new SP500 closing low at 3783 on Dec 28th, 2022.
Wave Counts:
- The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave may have completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796 or might still need to test the 62% Fib retracement at 3723 (alt blue). The initial minute (1) of minor 3 wave up should target the 3950 pivot area. Note: The primary (white/green) and alternate (blue) is valid for minor 2 above the P2 low at 3492.
- The alternate (red) wave count is that the P2-C3 wave that began in early 2022 is still ongoing and entering its final leg to new lows at the 62% Fib of price (3190) and time (Feb-Mar 2023). P2-C3 is tracing out a large double Zig-Zag, major [Y]-[X]-[Y]. Major [Y]-P2 completed in June at 3637 and major [X]-P2 completed at 4326 in August. The major [Y]-P2 wave lower has been underway since August and has a [Y]=[W] target of 3147. Within major [Y], minor A dropped to 3492 and minor B rose to 4101. Now minor C of major [Y] is headed below 3492, where minor C=A at 3267. Within minor C, minute (1) may have completed at 3764 or might need to test the 3727 pivot. Assuming minute (1) completed at 3764, the minute (2) wave up target is a 50% Fib retracement at 3912. Note: The alternate (red) count is valid below 4101.
House Keeping: There will be no blog update on Friday, December 30th. The markets are closed on Monday, January 2nd in observance of the New Year’s Day holiday. The next blog update will be on Tuesday, January 3rd.
I have opened the enrollment for the 2023 Quarterly and Annual Premium Service: https://pugsma.com/2022/12/01/december-1st-2022-sign-up-for-2023-quarterly-or-annual-premium-service/#respond
A few notes: (Check your e-mail from Friday December 23rd for details).
- Pricing for 2023 remains the same as 2022.
- Discounted Annual Subscriptions (14% savings vs Quarterly) are only available during December each calendar year.
- I have decided to roll the Custom Chart Archive Service back into the Premium Service. Thus, the custom stock charts that I chose on my own to complete will be available to all Premium Service subscribers. This is bonus for 2023 at the same Premium Service price.
- I have kept the Custom Chart Technical Analysis Service for those that want to order personalized custom charts for a stock that they request.
Thank you for your business and support during 2022 and for many of you since the beginning in 2009/2010. I really appreciate all the informative and encouraging comments towards my TA work over the years. It’s been a great community of investors.
Wishing you and yours a Happy New Year 2023!
SP-500 15-min chart:
SP-500 60-min chart:
SP-500 4-hr chart:
SP-500 daily chart:
SP-500 weekly chart:
SP-500 monthly chart: (SP500 continues to trade above a rising 50-month SMA of 3588)
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