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May 2nd, 2022: SP-500 Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on May 2, 2022

3:05 pm EST: The SP-500 opened flat from 4133, dropped to 4105, rallied to 4170 (day’s high), then slid hard the rest to the day to 4063…

Technical Indicators: See the SP500 vs NYMO vs VIX Chart Link: Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

Wave Counts: The primary (white/green) count is 51% probable, and alternate (red) count is 49% probable. 

  1. The primary (white/green) count is that P2-C3 is near a completion and should slightly undercut the February 4115 low. The major [C] target is between [C]=0.78[A] at 4088 and major [C]=0.88[A] at 4017.  Note: A break above 4370 is required to confirm the P2-C3 bottom of the primary (white/green) count.
  2. The alternate (red) count is that the P2-C3 wave down is still ongoing and will target at least the 38% Fib of P1 at 3821 (maybe lower to the 50% Fib at 3506). Within the P2 wave, major [A] ended at 4115 and the major [B] wave topped at 4637. Now the major [C] wave down is headed towards at least the 38% Fibonacci retrace of P1-C3 at 3821. Within major [C], the first minor 1 wave completed at 4370 and the minor 2 wave bounce hit 5212, just above 50% Fib at 4504. The minor 3 wave down is underway and should target 1.62*minor 1 at 4079 to 2.0*minor at 3978. Once minor 3 ends near 4079, the minor 4 should retrace to the 23%/38% Fib area of 4161 to 4233, before the final minor 5 drops lower towards where major [C]=[A] target at 3933 and the 38% Fib at 3821 to complete P2.  Note: The alternate (red) count is valid below 4370.

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 4-hr chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 daily chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

8 Responses to “May 2nd, 2022: SP-500 Chart Update”

  1. jrw said

    Steve, it appears that you nailed the low, with both SPX and VIX back within their respective Bollinger bands, along with potentially a green NYMO.

  2. pugsma said

    In the 2022 Custom Chart Archive Service, I just updated the AMD charts before its earnings report tonight.

    https://pugsma.com/custom-chart-archive-2022/

  3. Anjali Tewari said

    Based on current price action what are the key levels to watch for both counts – we seem to be consolidating under 4200 , so do you still see 4233 as max for red bounce

    • pugsma said

      4234 is the 38% Fib for red minor 4. Max for red minor 4 is at 4370 (minor 1 overlap).

      Private (white/green) must hold above 4063 and break above 4370 to confirm P2-C2 bottom.

      Nothing is resolved until either 4370 or 4063 is broken.

      • Jim Guthery said

        Any timeframe for P3 minute 1 to take off if we have bottomed? Can we play pivot pong for awhile?

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