PUG Stock Market Analysis, LLC

Elliott Wave Technical Analysis and Commentary on the Stock Market

August 22nd, 2016: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on August 22, 2016

12:05 pm EST:   No change in the wave counts based on the small SP-500 price movement the past two days.

The primary (green) wave count is that wave (2) of minor 5 of major [3]-P5-C1 is complete at 2169.  Wave (3) of minor 5 should be underway and move above 2200.  The (3)=1.38*(1) target is 2224.  Looking for major [3] to terminate near the [3]=0.78*[1]=2235 target.   From there a major [4] correction down to the 23%/38% retrace of 2179/2142.  The P5=0.62*P1 target is at 2246.  The primary green count as labeled remains valid above the 2148.

The alternate (blue) wave count is that wave minor 1 of major [3]-P5-C1 completed at 2194.   Wave minor 2 should retrace 50%/62% down to 2097 to 2072.   From there the minor 3 = 1.38*minor 1 target is 2361.   The major [3] target is at 1.62*[1] = 2496.  The P5=P1 target is 2514 to complete the Cycle 1 wave.  The alternate blue count as labeled remains valid for minor 2 of major [3] above the major [2] low 1992.

The alternate (red) wave count has topped major [5]-P5-C1 at 2194 and the LT (long-term) Cycle (C2) wave down towards a 50% Fibonacci retrace of C1 at 1428 is about to get underway.

SP-500 15-min chart:

PUG SP-500 15-min MD 8-22-16

SP-500 60-min chart:

PUG SP-500 60-min MD 8-22-16

SP-500 4-hr chart:

PUG SP-500 4-hr MD 8-22-16

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