January 15th, 2016: SP-500 EOD Update
Posted by pugsma on January 15, 2016
3:00 pm EST: Today’s new low at 1858 eliminated the alternate (blue) count for the P4-C1 triangle. However, the P4-C1 wave can still be a simple flat wave where [C]=[A] at 1848. The primary (red) count continues to look for major -PC-C2 low in the 1849/1814 pivot area. However, there is a risk that the major -PC wave down toward SPX 1600 is already underway. More on that if the 1849/1814 support fails.
The primary (red) count is that Primary B (PB) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave topped at 2116 and has begun the Primary C (PC) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave headed to the 1575 pivot target area. Within PC, the major  wave is nearing completion at the 1884/1849 pivot area. The low of 1858 today may have set the major  low or there could one more drop to the 1849/1814 pivot area early next week. Once major  completes there should be a significant major  retrace of 50%/62% to the 1983/2015 area before the major  wave down begins a massive sell-off toward the PC-C2 target of 1575. The primary (red) count remains valid below the Primary B (PB) high of 2116.
The alternate (blue) count is a large P4-C1 flat wave with major [A] complete at 1867, major [B] complete at 2116 and now the major [C] wave down is complete 1848, where [C]=[A]. Once P4 completes, there should be impulse P5 wave to the final Cycle 1 (C1) top, with a target at P5=0.62*P1 = 2284.
US Markets are close on Monday, Jan 18th for the MLK Holiday.
Have a great weekend !!!
SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):
SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):
SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):
SP-500 daily chart (EOD):
SP-500 weekly chart (EOD):
SP-500 monthly chart (EOD):
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