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December 9th, 2015: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on December 9, 2015

3:45 pm EST:   Today the SP-500 price dropped below the 200-day SMA (2064) and 50-day SMA (2052) hitting a low of 2037 and closed at 2048 below both key SMA’s.    The primary (red) count is gaining momentum.   A break below 2019 and 1993 is required to fully confirm the red wave count.

The primary (red) count is that Primary B (PB) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave topped at 2116 and has begun the Primary C (PC) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave headed to the 1575 target area.   This first minor 1 of major [1]-PC wave completed at the 2019 pivot.   The minor 2 of major [1] wave ended at the 88% Fib of 2104.  Wave minor 3 is underway and should drop below the 2019 pivot to the 1926/1905 pivot area, where minor 3 = 2.62*minor 1.   Within minor 3, wave (1) at 2042 and wave (2) has retraced 88% 2094.   Wave (3) of minor 3 should now impulse lower towards the (3)=2.62(1) target of 1932.   Within the minute (3) wave, wave i-(3) ended at 2052 and wave ii-(3) at 2080.  Wave iii-(3) should now be underway headed for the iii=2.62*i target of 1970.   The red count remains valid as long as the minor 2 of major [1] wave remains below the PB high of 2116.

The alternate (blue) count is that Primary 5 (P5) of Cycle 1 (C1) has one more push up above the 2135 level coming of the Primary 4 (P4) low of 1867 from August.   Within P5, the major [4] wave appears to be taking the form of a large contracting triangle wave.  Wave minor A completed at 2019, wave minor B ended at 2104, and now the minor C may have bottomed today at 2037.   Next there should be a minor D wave up toward the 2094 pivot area and then a minor E wave back down to the 2046 area to complete the major [4] wave triangle.  Once major [4] completes, there should be one more push up to a new all-time high for the major [5] wave that should reach at least to the double bottom target of 2170 or the P5=0.5*P1 target at 2219.  The blue count remains valid as long the minor C wave of the major [4] triangle remains above the minor A wave low of 2019.

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15-min EOD 12-9-15

SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min EOD 12-9-15

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr EOD 12-9-15

SP-500 daily chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 daily EOD 12-9-15

SP-500 weekly chart with indicators (EOD):

PUG SP-500 Weekly with Indicators 12-9-15

 

 

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