PUG Stock Market Analysis, LLC

Elliott Wave Technical Analysis and Commentary on the Stock Market

November 19th, 2015: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on November 19, 2015

5:00 pm EST:   The primary (red) count is that Primary B (PB) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave topped at 2116 and has begun the Primary C (PC) of Cycle 2 (C2) wave headed to the 1575 target area.   This first minor 1 of major [1]-PC wave completed at the 2019 pivot.   The minor 2 bounce is underway that should retrace 62%/78% to 2079/2095 before wave minor 3 drops below 1991 pivot to the 1926/1905 pivot area, where minor 3 = 1.62*minor 1.   For the minor 2 wave there is a target of (c)=(a)=2094, which is right at the 2094 pivot resistance and the 78% retrace.    The red count remains valid as long this minor 2 wave bounce remains below 2116.

The alternate (blue) count is that Primary 5 (P5) of Cycle 1 (C1) has one more push up above the 2135 level.   The 2116 level was the major [3]-P5 high and the drop from 2116 to 2019 is a typical 38% retrace (2023) for the major [4]-P5 wave.  Wave major [5] is underway from 2019 and should reach at least to the [5]=[1] target 2145.  There is also a double bottom target of 2170 and P5=0.5*P1 target at 2219.   Within major [5] there should be 5 minor waves higher.  Minor 1 of major [5] looks to have completed at 2067 (see details on the 15-min/60-min charts) and the wave 2 retrace of near 50% ended at 2046.   Wave minor 3 is under and should make a new high above 2135, where minor 3 = 2.62*minor 1 at 2169.   The blue count remains valid above the major [4] low of 2019.

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15min EOD 4-19-15

SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min EOD 4-19-15

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr EOD 4-19-15

SP-500 daily chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 daily EOD 4-19-15

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