August 31st, 2015: SP-500 EOD Update
Posted by pugsma on August 31, 2015
5:20 pm EST: SP-500 price looks to be consolidating above the 1956 pivot in a triangle formation, which would favor the primary count major [B]-PB wave.
The primary (white/green) count found the Primary A (PA) of Cycle 2 (C2) low at 1867. The SP-500 is experiencing a strong bounce for the Primary B (PB) wave that should reach the 62%/78% retrace target of 2033/2076 into mid-to-late September. After PB-C2 completes, there should be a much bigger drop for the PC-C2 wave that should reach the 1575 pivot area (i.e. the year 2007 high) into mid-year 2016. The details for the PB wave are shown on the 15-min and 60-min charts. It looks like the major [A]-PB wave completed at 1990. Next there should be a 38%/50% retrace for major [B]-PB wave to the 1956/1926 pivot area followed by a major [C]-PB wave up to the 2046 pivot. Wave major [B] could form an expanded flat wave (A 1948, B 1993, C 1925) or it’s also possible the major [B] will form triangle wave in which case the pull-back low of 1948 (34% retrace) may have been minor A of major [B], the rise to 1993 could be minor B of major [B] and now there will be some oscillation between 1948 and 1993 for the minor C-D-E waves of the triangle to complete major [B] before the major [C] wave moves to the 2033/2044 area for the PB wave completion. The primary count remains valid for the PB-C2 wave below the May 2015 high of 2135.
The alternate (blue) count has found the Primary 4 (P4) of Cycle 1 (C1) bottom at 1867 and is now in the very early stages of the Primary 5 (P5) of Cycle 1 (C1) wave that will make a new high above 2135 (initial P5-C1 targets are in the 2200-2300 area). It looks like major [1]-P5 completed today at 1993. There should be a major [2] wave retrace of 50%/62% to the 1926/1905 pivot area. Note: a deeper major [2] retrace would favor the alternate (blue) count. Once major [2] wave completes, the major [3]-P5 bull wave that will target the 2251, where major [3] = 2.62*[1]. Ultimately P5-C1 should reach the P5 = 0.5*P1 = 2219 to P5 = 0.62*P1 = 2299 targets into the year 2016. The alternate count remains valid above the 1867 low.
SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):
SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):
SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):
SP-500 daily chart (EOD):
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