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Oct 29, 2009 – Morning Update

Posted by pugsma on October 29, 2009

The Q3 GDP came in at +3.5%, better than the expected +3.0%.  Economist had forcast at range of +2.0 to +4.0%.  There was very strong growth in all economic sectors.  Recall that Q2 was a -0.7% and Q1 was at -5.2% GDP number.  So that is a big jump in just two quarters.  The US economy has moved out of recession and is growing again.  The Q4 GDP expectation is around +4.0 to +6.0%.  And if we get that number then 2009 GDP will be positive as a whole!

As you might expect the markets are cheering the good GDP news, and are up over 1% this morning.  As, I forecast last night if the 1042 area holds look for 1060 near term.  And if we break through 1060 then look for resistance at 1074.  A drop back down to 1030 still must be watched if 1060 resistance holds.

Here is an updated 5-min chart.

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