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    SCI-SCV, SCA-SCC: Super Cycle
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Archive for March, 2023

March 6th, 2023: SP-500, IWM and QQQ Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 6, 2023

5:15 pm EST: The SP-500 gapped up 4045 to 4051, then climbed to 4078 (day’s high), dripped to 4045 (day’s low) and closed at 4048.

P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 bull wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Target for P2-C3: 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (Primary count P2-C3 low at 3492 on Oct 13th, 2022).

Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term)  Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

  1. Chart Pattern (2-1-23): Potential Cup and Handle Pattern on the 4-hr chart with a target at 4708.
  2. Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
  3. NYMO (2-21-23): The NYMO closed at -81 with the SP500 at 3998. There will be a NYMO +DIV with NYMO closes above -81 and SP500 closes below 3998.
  4. NYMO (2-24-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3971.
  5. NYMO (2-28-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3969.
  6. NYMO (3-1-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3951.
  7. VIX (2-28-23 to 3-1-23): Confirmed lower VIX close (-DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing lows.
  8. 200-day SMA (3940): Critical moving average support area. SP500 held and never closed below!
  9. Back-test of Broken 2022 Down Channel (3900): 3928 low was just above this target.

Wave Counts:

  1. The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796. The minor 3 wave up is underway with a minimum target of minor 3 = 1.23*minor 1 at 4512. Within minor 3, the minute (1) of minor 3 wave ended at 4195. The minute (2) wave pull-back is complete at 3928 precisely at the 62% Fib of 3927. The minute (3) of minor 3 wave up is underway and headed above 4195 to the (3)=1.23(1) target at 4458. Wave i-(3) should target the 4191 pivot area. Note: The primary (white/green) count as labeled is valid above 3928.

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

IWM 60-min chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

QQQ 60-min chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off on March 6th, 2023: SP-500, IWM and QQQ Chart Update

March 3rd, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 3, 2023

5:50 pm EST: The SP-500 gapped up 3981 to 3997, then climbed all to close on the high at 4045.

P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 bull wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Target for P2-C3: 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (Primary count P2-C3 low at 3492 on Oct 13th, 2022).

Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term)  Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

  1. Chart Pattern (2-1-23): Potential Cup and Handle Pattern on the 4-hr chart with a target at 4708.
  2. Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
  3. NYMO (2-21-23): The NYMO closed at -81 with the SP500 at 3998. There will be a NYMO +DIV with NYMO closes above -81 and SP500 closes below 3998.
  4. NYMO (2-24-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3971.
  5. NYMO (2-28-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3969.
  6. NYMO (3-1-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3951.
  7. VIX (2-28-23 to 3-1-23): Confirmed lower VIX close (-DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing lows.
  8. 200-day SMA (3940): Critical moving average support area. SP500 held and never closed below!
  9. Back-test of Broken 2022 Down Channel (3900): 3928 low was just above this target.

Wave Counts:

  1. The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796. The minor 3 wave up is underway with a minimum target of minor 3 = 1.23*minor 1 at 4512. Within minor 3, the minute (1) of minor 3 wave ended at 4195. The minute (2) wave pull-back is complete at 3928 precisely at the 62% Fib of 3927. The minute (3) of minor 3 wave up is underway and headed above 4195 to the (3)=1.23(1) target at 4458. Wave i-(3) should target the 4191 pivot area. Note: The primary (white/green) count as labeled is valid above 3928.

Have a great weekend !

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 4-hr chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 daily chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 weekly chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

Posted in Premium, SP-500 | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 3rd, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

March 3rd, 2023: IWM and QQQ Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 3, 2023

IWM 60-min chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

IWM daily chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

IWM weekly chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

QQQ 60-min chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

QQQ daily chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

QQQ weekly chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ | Tagged: , , | Comments Off on March 3rd, 2023: IWM and QQQ Chart Update

March 3rd, 2023: TSLA Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 3, 2023

TSLA 60-min chart (3-2-23):

TSLA Technical Analysis

TSLA daily chart (3-2-23):

TSLA Technical Analysis

Posted in Premium, TSLA | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 3rd, 2023: TSLA Chart Update

March 2nd, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 2, 2023

5:00 pm EST: The SP-500 gapped down 3951 to 3938, dropped to 3928 (day’s low), rose to 3991 (day’s high), then closed at 3981.

P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 bull wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Target for P2-C3: 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (Primary count P2-C3 low at 3492 on Oct 13th, 2022).

Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term)  Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

  1. Chart Pattern (2-1-23): Potential Cup and Handle Pattern on the 4-hr chart with a target at 4708.
  2. Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
  3. NYMO (2-21-23): The NYMO closed at -81 with the SP500 at 3998. There will be a NYMO +DIV with NYMO closes above -81 and SP500 closes below 3998.
  4. NYMO (2-24-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3971.
  5. NYMO (2-28-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3969.
  6. NYMO (3-1-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3951.
  7. VIX (2-28-23 to 3-1-23): Confirmed lower VIX close (-DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing lows.
  8. 200-day SMA (3940): Critical moving support area.
  9. Back-test of Broken 2022 Down Channel (3900): Possible target area.

Wave Counts:

  1. The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796. The minor 3 wave up is underway with a minimum target of minor 3 = 1.23*minor 1 at 4512. Within minor 3, the minute (1) of minor 3 wave ended at 4195. The minute (2) wave pull-back is complete at 3928 precisely at the 62% Fib of 3927 or could reach the 78%/88% Fibs area of 3858/3816 (alt blue labels). Note: The primary (white/green) count as labeled is valid above 3928 and alternate (blue) counts as labeled are valid for the minute (2) or minor 3 above the minor 2 low at 3764.

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 4-hr chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 daily chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 2nd, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

March 2nd, 2023: IWM and QQQ Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 2, 2023

IWM 60-min chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

IWM daily chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

QQQ 60-min chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

QQQ daily chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ | Tagged: , , | Comments Off on March 2nd, 2023: IWM and QQQ Chart Update

March 2nd, 2023: DIA (DJIA-30) Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 2, 2023

4:45 am EST: The DIA made a new low below 325.65 on March 1st at 325.30. Thus DIA must be in a minor 2 wave of major [1]-P3-C3 that must hold above the P2-C3 low at 286.62.

DIA 60-min chart:

DIA Technical Analysis

DIA daily chart:

DIA Technical Analysis

Posted in DIA, DJIA-30, Premium | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 2nd, 2023: DIA (DJIA-30) Chart Update

March 1st, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 1, 2023

7:00 pm EST: The SP-500 gapped down 3969 to 3964, dropped to 3939 (day’s low), rose to 3969 (day’s high), then dropped to 3942 and closed at 3951.

P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 bull wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Target for P2-C3: 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (Primary count P2-C3 low at 3492 on Oct 13th, 2022).

Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term)  Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

  1. Chart Pattern (2-1-23): Potential Cup and Handle Pattern on the 4-hr chart with a target at 4708.
  2. Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
  3. NYMO (2-21-23): The NYMO closed at -81 with the SP500 at 3998. There will be a NYMO +DIV with NYMO closes above -81 and SP500 closes below 3998.
  4. NYMO (2-24-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3971.
  5. NYMO (2-28-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3969.
  6. NYMO (3-1-23): Confirmed higher NYMO close (+DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing low at 3951.
  7. VIX (2-28-23 to 3-1-23): Confirmed lower VIX close (-DIV) wrt SP500 lower closing lows.
  8. 200-day SMA (3940): Critical moving support area.
  9. Back-test of Broken 2022 Down Channel (3900): Possible target area.

Wave Counts:

  1. The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796. The minor 3 wave up is underway with a minimum target of minor 3 = 1.23*minor 1 at 4512. Within minor 3, the minute (1) of minor 3 wave ended at 4195. The minute (2) wave pull-back is complete or nearly complete at 3939 near the 62% Fib of 3927 or could reach the 78%/88% Fibs area of 3858/3816 (alt blue labels). Note: The primary (white/green) and alternate (blue) counts as labeled are valid for the minute (2) or minor 3 above the minor 2 low at 3764.

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 4-hr chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 daily chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

Posted in Premium, SP-500 | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 1st, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

March 1st, 2023: QQQ and IWM Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 1, 2023

IWM 60-min chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

IWM daily chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

QQQ 60-min chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

QQQ daily chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ | Tagged: , , | Comments Off on March 1st, 2023: QQQ and IWM Chart Update

March 1st, 2023: Get March Free When Signing Up for Q2-2023 (April-June) Premium Service

Posted by pugsma on March 1, 2023

Sign up for Premium Service Quarterly Q2 (3 months, April Through June) for a price $210 (Buy Now) and get the rest of March for Free.

The Premium Service uses Elliott Wave Theory, channel analysis, Fibonacci extension/retracement, momentum oscillators and chart pattern recognition to help forecast market directional moves in the SP-500, other indexes, various stocks and commodities.  Based on PUG’s own charts, trend lines and price movement projections, PUG will provide technical analysis updates.

  • Focused on the SP-500 forecast using charting and technical analysis.
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  • Website daily updates with password protected premium content (Note: updates are for days in which USA markets are open).
  • Daily market commentary and charts (15-min, 60-min, 4-hr, daily and weekly time frames) with price movement projection provided.
  • Moderated comments section where subscribers can interact real-time with PUG and other subscribers on technical analysis.
  • Occasional video chart updates with commentary.

CUSTOM CHART SERVICE:

Custom Chart Technical Analysis (TA) Service (Buy Now).

  1. A customer requests an initial technical analysis chart on a stock, index or commodity. Click Link to Buy: Price $100
    • Customer can request the time frame (15-min, 60-min, 4-hr, daily) used for the chart.
    • Technical Analysis could be Elliott Wave based and/or chart pattern recognition.
    • BEFORE Paying, Send an e-mail to PUG (Steve) at pug.sma.llc@gmail.com with chart initial request details.
    • Allow up to 2 business to complete the initial chart technical analysis work.
  2. A customer requests an update to the chart. Click Link to Buy: Price $50
    • Price is for each update requested after the initial chart.
    • BEFORE Paying, Send an e-mail to PUG (Steve) at pug.sma.llc@gmail.com with chart update details.
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Posted in Offer | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off on March 1st, 2023: Get March Free When Signing Up for Q2-2023 (April-June) Premium Service