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Archive for March, 2023

March 31st, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 31, 2023

8:15 pm EST:  The SP-500 gapped up from 4050 to 4055, climbed all day to 4111 (day’s high) and closed near the high at 4109.

P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 bull wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Target for P2-C3: 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (Primary count P2-C3 low at 3492 on Oct 13th, 2022).

Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term)  Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

  1. Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
  2. 200-day SMA at 3940 (3-8-23): The SP-500 closed above a rising 200-day SMA (3940) for the first time since April 2022. This confirms the P2-C3 bottom at 3492!
  3. Seasonality: The SP-500 past 20-years of seasonality shows a low in March and a rally the rest of the year.
  4. Zweig Breadth Trust (ZBT): There is very good chance the ZBT signal triggered today with a 10th day close above 0.615 (See the ZBT Chart Here: Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com)

Wave Counts:

  1. The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796. The minor 3 wave up is underway with a minimum target of minor 3 = 1.23*minor 1 at 4512. Within minor 3, the minute (1) of minor 3 wave ended at 4195. The minute (2) wave pull-back reached 3809, which is the 88% Fib area of 3815. Wave minute (3) up is underway head for (3)=1.62(1) at 4507. Wave i of minute (3) completed at 4039. The wave ii-(3) completed at 3909, in between the 50%/62% Fib area. Wave iii-(3) up is headed to a target well above 4195, where iii=1.78i at 4318. Note: The primary (white/green) count as labeled is valid above 3809 as labeled.

Have a great weekend!

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 4-hr chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 daily chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 weekly chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 monthly chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

Posted in Premium, SP-500 | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 31st, 2023: SP-500 Chart Update

March 31st, 2023: IWM and QQQ Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 31, 2023

IWM 60-min chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

IWM daily chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

IWM weekly chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

QQQ 60-min chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

QQQ daily chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

QQQ weekly chart: (Note: Weekly MCAD Above Zero Line! Confirms New Bull Market!)

QQQ Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ | Tagged: , , | Comments Off on March 31st, 2023: IWM and QQQ Chart Update

March 29th, 2023: DIA Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 29, 2023

DIA 60-min chart (close on 3-28-23):

DIA Technical Analysis

DIA daily chart (close on 3-28-23):

DIA Technical Analysis

Posted in DIA, Premium | Tagged: | Comments Off on March 29th, 2023: DIA Chart Update

March 28th, 2023: SP-500, IWM and QQQ Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 28, 2023

4:30 pm EST:  The SP-500 opened flat 3977, traded sideways, dipped to 3952 (day’s low) and closed at 3971.

P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 bull wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Target for P2-C3: 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (Primary count P2-C3 low at 3492 on Oct 13th, 2022).

Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term)  Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

  1. Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
  2. 200-day SMA at 3940 (3-8-23): The SP-500 closed above a rising 200-day SMA (3940) for the first time since April 2022. This confirms the P2-C3 bottom at 3492!
  3. Seasonality: The SP-500 past 20-years of seasonality shows a low in March and a rally the rest of the year.

Wave Counts:

  1. The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796. The minor 3 wave up is underway with a minimum target of minor 3 = 1.23*minor 1 at 4512. Within minor 3, the minute (1) of minor 3 wave ended at 4195. The minute (2) wave pull-back reached 3809, which is the 88% Fib area of 3815. Wave minute (3) up is underway head for (3)=1.62(1) at 4507. Wave i of minute (3) completed at 4039. The wave ii-(3) completed at 3909, in between the 50%/62% Fib area. Wave iii-(3) up is headed to a target well above 4195, where iii=1.78i at 4318. Note: The primary (white/green) count as labeled is valid above 3809 as labeled.

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

IWM 60-min chart:

IWMTechnical Analysis

QQQ 60-min chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off on March 28th, 2023: SP-500, IWM and QQQ Chart Update

March 28th, 2023: Get 1-Month Free of Premium Service

Posted by pugsma on March 28, 2023

Get 1-Month Free Premium Service (Register Now).

The Premium Service uses Elliott Wave Theory, channel analysis, Fibonacci extension/retracement, momentum oscillators and chart pattern recognition to help forecast market directional moves in the SP-500, other indexes, various stocks and commodities.  Based on PUG’s own charts, trend lines and price movement projections, PUG will provide technical analysis updates.

  • Focused on the SP-500 forecast using charting and technical analysis.
  • Additional price forecast for various indexes, stocks, bonds and commodities (examples: QQQ: Nasdaq-100, IWM: Russell-2000, DIA: Dow Jones-30, AAPL, TSLA, TLT: Treasury Bonds, GLD: Gold) using charting and technical analysis.  Which additional charts are chosen is entirely up to PUG’s discretion based on significant price movement changes of importance.
  • Website daily updates with password protected premium content (Note: updates are for days in which USA markets are open).
  • Daily market commentary and charts (15-min, 60-min, 4-hr, daily and weekly time frames) with price movement projection provided.
  • Moderated comments section where subscribers can interact real-time with PUG and other subscribers on technical analysis.
  • Occasional video chart updates with commentary.

CUSTOM CHART SERVICE:

Custom Chart Technical Analysis (TA) Service (Buy Now).

  1. A customer requests an initial technical analysis chart on a stock, index or commodity. Click Link to Buy: Price $100
    • Customer can request the time frame (15-min, 60-min, 4-hr, daily) used for the chart.
    • Technical Analysis could be Elliott Wave based and/or chart pattern recognition.
    • BEFORE Paying, Send an e-mail to PUG (Steve) at pug.sma.llc@gmail.com with chart initial request details.
    • Allow up to 2 business to complete the initial chart technical analysis work.
  2. A customer requests an update to the chart. Click Link to Buy: Price $50
    • Price is for each update requested after the initial chart.
    • BEFORE Paying, Send an e-mail to PUG (Steve) at pug.sma.llc@gmail.com with chart update details.
    • Allow up to 2 business days to complete the updated technical analysis work.

Posted in Offer | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off on March 28th, 2023: Get 1-Month Free of Premium Service

March 28th, 2023: XLF Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 28, 2023

XLF daily chart (close 3-27-23):

XLF Technical Analysis

Posted in Premium, XLF | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 28th, 2023: XLF Chart Update

March 28th, 2023: GOOGL Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 28, 2023

GOOGL daily chart (close 3-27-23):

GOOGL Technical Analysis

Posted in GOOGL | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 28th, 2023: GOOGL Chart Update

March 27th, 2023: SP-500, IWM and QQQ Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 27, 2023

6:05 pm EST:  The SP-500 gapped up from 3972 to 3982, rose to 4004 (day’s high), dropped to 3970 (day’s low) and closed at 3977.

P2-C3 Price and Time Fibonacci Targets: The P1-C3 bull wave rose from 2192 to 4819 and lasted from end of March 2020 to beginning of January 2022 (21 months). Target for P2-C3: 50% Fib of Price and Time is at 3505 and 10.5 months (mid-Oct to mid-Nov 2022). (Primary count P2-C3 low at 3492 on Oct 13th, 2022).

Key Technical Indicators (Short to Intermediate Term)  Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

  1. Golden Cross (2-2-23): 50-day SMA (3953) closed above the 200-day SMA (3951).
  2. 200-day SMA at 3940 (3-8-23): The SP-500 closed above a rising 200-day SMA (3940) for the first time since April 2022. This confirms the P2-C3 bottom at 3492!
  3. Seasonality: The SP-500 past 20-years of seasonality shows a low in March and a rally the rest of the year.

Wave Counts:

  1. The primary (white/green) wave count is the completion of minor 1 of major [1]-P3-C3 as a leading diagonal at 4100, where minute (5)>(3)>(1). The minor 2 wave completed at 3764 just below the 50% Fib of 3796. The minor 3 wave up is underway with a minimum target of minor 3 = 1.23*minor 1 at 4512. Within minor 3, the minute (1) of minor 3 wave ended at 4195. The minute (2) wave pull-back reached 3809, which is the 88% Fib area of 3815. Wave minute (3) up is underway head for (3)=1.62(1) at 4507. Wave i of minute (3) completed at 4039. The wave ii-(3) target is at the 50%/62% Fib area of 3924/3896 and may have competed at 3909 today. Once wave ii-(3) completes the wave iii-(3) target is well above 4195, where iii=1.78i at 4318. Note: The primary (white/green) count as labeled is valid above 3809 as labeled.

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

IWM 60-min chart:

IWM Technical Analysis

QQQ 60-min chart:

QQQ Technical Analysis

Posted in IWM, Premium, QQQ, SP-500 | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off on March 27th, 2023: SP-500, IWM and QQQ Chart Update

March 27th, 2023: TSLA Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 27, 2023

TSLA 60-min chart (3-24-23 close):

TSLA Technical Analysis

TSLA daily chart (3-24-23 close):

TSLA Technical Analysis

Posted in Premium, TSLA | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 27th, 2023: TSLA Chart Update

March 25th, 2023: AMZN Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on March 25, 2023

AMZN daily chart (3-24-23):

AMZN Technical Analysis

Posted in AMZN | Tagged: , | Comments Off on March 25th, 2023: AMZN Chart Update