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December 15th, 2020: SP-500 Chart Update

Posted by pugsma on December 15, 2020

4:40 pm EST:  The SP-500 price gapped up from 3647 to 3666, hit 3678, drifted lower to 3660 and then rallied all-day to close on the high at 3694.

Market Technical Notes: 

  1. NYMO: The NYMO closed up near +15 from -12 on Monday.  The NYMO looks to have closed above its lower BB after two consecutive closes below its BB, confirming a SP600 Buy Signal.
  2. VIX: The VIX closed down -7.4% at 22.89. The VIX should ideally drop below 20 to confirm the minor 3 of major [5]-P1-C1 wave to the 3994 target.
  3. Chart PatternBullish IHS on the 15-min chart target 3791.
  4. NYSE A-D Line Cumulative: The A-D line cumulative continues to make new closing highs AS IT DID TODAY, which is extremely bullish. There likely wont be a significant top in the SP-500 without a negative divergence on the A-D line vs the SP-500 price.

The primary (white/green) wave count is that the minor 3 or major [5]-P1-C3 wave up is underway that should target 3994, where minor 3 =2.23*minor 1. Wave minute (1) of minor 3 completed at 3646 and wave minute (2) at 3512. Wave minute (3) up underway with (3)=(1) target at 3924. Within minute (3), wave i ended at 3629 and wave ii at 3544. Wave i-(3) is underway with at target at 3860, where iii=2.62*i.  The major [5]=[1] target is 3972 to complete P1-C3. Note: The primary (white/green) count as labeled remains valid above the wave ii-(3) low at 3544.

SP500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 4-hr chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 daily chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

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