November 25th, 2020: SP-500 Chart Update
Posted by pugsma on November 25, 2020
6:50 pm EST: The SP-500 price opened flat from 3635, dropped to the days low at 3618 and traded sideways to close at 3630.
Market Technical Notes:
- NYMO: The NYMO closed down at +45 from +65 on Tuesday. The NYMO has been above +20 since late October, indicating an initiation impulse higher.
- VIX: The VIX closed down -1.8% at 21.25. The VIX should drop below 20 to confirm the major [5]-P1-C1 wave to the 3972 target.
- Chart Pattern: 15-min chart triangle bullish break-out with target of 3713.
- NYSE A-D Line Cumulative: The A-D line cumulative made new all-time closing high on Nov 24th with the SP500 at 3635. There likely wont be a significant top in the SP-500 without a negative divergence on the A-D line vs the SP-500 price.
The primary (white/green) wave count is that the minor 3 or major [5]-P1-C3 wave up is underway that should target 3916, where minor 3 =2.0*minor 1. Wave minute (1) of minor 3 is nearing completion and should reach the wave iv-(1) triangle target at 3713 . Once wave minute (1) completes, wave minute (2) should then retrace to at least the 38% Fib at 3530. Once wave minute (2) completes, wave minute (3) up has an initial target at 3904, where (3)=0.78(1). The major [5]=[1] target is 3972 to complete P1-C3. Note: this primary (white/green) wave count remains valid for wave minute (2) of minor 3 above the minor 2 low at 3234.
The alternate (blue) count is that major [5]-P1-C3 is nearing completion at the major [5]=0.62[1] target of 3707. Minor 4 of major [5] was triangle wave with a target of 3713 to complete minor 5 of major [5]. Once P1 completes the P2 wave should retrace at least to the 38% Fib at 3131 into the spring of 2021.
House Keeping: The blog will be closed for the 4-day Thanksgiving Holiday weekend. The next blog post will be on Monday, November 30th.
Have a great Thanksgiving Holiday weekend!
SP-500 5-min chart:
SP-500 15-min chart:
SP-500 60-min chart:
SP-500 4-hr chart:
SP-500 daily chart:
SP-500 weekly chart:
SP-500 monthly chart:
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