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August 13th, 2019: SP-500 Technical Analysis

Posted by pugsma on August 13, 2019

5:20 pm EST:  The SP-500 price gapped down at the open to 2877, hit 2943 mid-day before closing at 2926.

The 2941 pivot is a key resistance area were the 13-day EMA, 34-day EMA, and 50-day SMA cluster resides.  A break above this 2941 pivot likely means a run to new all-time highs per the primary (white/green) wave count.  A failure at this 2941 pivot and a new low below 2822 is likely.

The primary (white/green) wave count is off to a wave i-ii start for (1) of minor 3 of major [3]-P5-C1.  The drop to 2873 and the 2872 pivot support was a typicial 50%/62% (2981/2866) Fibonacci retracement for a wave ii.   Waves, iii, iv and v of minute (1) should target the 3018 pivot.  A break above 3028 would confirm the primary.

The alternate (blue) wave count is looking to complete major [2] of PA-C2 at the typical 62%/78% (2950/2983) Fibonacci retracement for a wave [2].   Once major [2] completes, look for a very large wave major [3] lower that should target the 2491 pivot, where [3]=2.0[1].   A break below 2822 would confirm the alternate.

SP-500 15-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 60-min chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

SP-500 4-hr chart:

SP500 Technical Analysis

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