PUG Stock Market Analysis, LLC

Elliott Wave Technical Analysis and Commentary on the Stock Market

August 4th, 2016: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on August 4, 2016

5:25 pm EST:    Wave minor 4 of major [5]-P5-C1 is completing a 23%/38% Fibonacci retrace to the 2154/2138 area before minor 5 of major [3] heads to the 2226 target area.  Wave minor 4 appears to have taken the form of a an expanded flat with 5 waves down from 2178 to 2148 for wave minute (c) of minor 4.   Assuming minor 4 ended at 2148, the minor 5 = 0.62*minor 1 target is t 2226.   The first IT (Intermediate-Term) P5-C1 wave target completion area is at 2246, where P5=0.62*P1.

However there is a much more bullish LT (long-term) alternate (blue) wave count target at P5=P1 = 2514.  In this more bullish scenario, both minor 3 of major [3] and major [3] itself would sub-divide and extended much higher.    For this alternate (blue) wave count minor 2 of major [3]-P5-C1 is likely to test the 38%/50% Fibonacci retrace at 2107/2085 before minor 3 of major [3] moves move higher towards a minor 3 = 1.62*minor 1 target at 2386.

Finally, remember the classic Technical Analysis Intermediate-term (IT) measured move break out above 2121, is 2121 + (2121-1992) = 2250, which is right at the first major [5]-P1-C5 target of 2242 and the Long-term (LT) measured move break out above 2135, is 2135 + (2135-1810) = 2460, which is right below P5=P1 = 2514 target.

Have a super weekend !!!

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15-min EOD 8-4-16

SP-5000 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min EOD 8-4-16

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr EOD 8-4-16

SP-500 daily chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 daily EOD 8-4-16

SP-500 weekly chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 weekly EOD 8-4-16

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