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July 14th, 2015: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on July 14, 2015

5:00 pm EST:   The primary count has been modified to show the Primary 5 (P5) of Cycle 1 (C1) Ending Diagonal (ED) extending from the recent major [4]-P5-C1 low of 2044.   The final wave up for major [5]-P5 is underway and should unfold at a 3-wave, minor A-B-C.  Minor A is currently in wave minute (3) that should end around the 2120 pivot.    I’m looking for minor A to reach the 2135 pivot before a minor 50% retrace to about the 2094 pivot.  Minor C should then complete major [5]-P5-C1 near the P5 = 0.5*P1 target of 2172.  Note: the ending diagonal maximum (i.e. wave [5] < [3] < [1]) for this primary wave count is at 2044 + (2135-1981) = 2198.  Above 2198, the alternate (blue) count is confirmed.

The alternate (blue) count is that P4-C1 played out as shallow flat over the past 4-months.  P4-C1 ended at 2044 and P5-C1 is now underway that should reach at least a P5 = 0.5*P1 target of 2374 and could reach much higher to P5 = 0.62*P1 = 2481 or P5 = 2749 over the next year.   Major [1]-P5 should reach 2135 before a major [2]-P5 retrace of 50% to 2090.  Within major [1], minor 1 reached 2084 and minor 2 retraced almost all of minor 1 to 2045.  Now minor 3 is underway with a minor 3 = 2.00*minor 1 target of 2124.

Both the primary and alternate (blue) counts remain valid above the recent 2044 low.  It would take a break of the 2046 pivot area to likely confirm the Cycle 1 (C1) top is in place and the Cycle 2 (C2) correction is underway.

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15-min chart EOD 7-14-15

SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min chart EOD 7-14-15

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr chart EOD 7-14-15

SP-500 daily chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 daily chart EOD 7-14-15

 

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