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May 19th, 2014: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on May 19, 2014

4:35 pm EST:  Today went as expected with the SP-500 price moving up to the 1884 pivot as forecast by both wave counts.

The primary count is that wave (b) of minor 5 of major [5]-P3-C1 completed at 1862 and now the final wave (c) of minor 5 up is underway headed for target  at (c)=(a) = 1939.  There is also the long-standing target of 1941, where P3 = 1.23*P1.  The first wave up for i-(c) of minor 5 looks to be headed for a 1891-1897 target area.  There should then be a wave ii-(c) retrace of about 50% to 1876-1879 before wave iii-(c) heads to a new all-time high in the 1923-1935 area, where iii=1.62*i.  The primary count as labeled would go invalid on a move below 1862 and be confirmed on a move below 1814.

The alternate (blue) count is that the Ending Diagonal completed at 1902 early this week and thus P3-C1 topped.  The move down from 1902 to 1962 is wave (1) of minor 1 of major [A]-P4 and this current move back up is a wave (2) of minor 1.  The wave (2) targets are the 62%/78%  fib retrace cluster at 1887/1893.  Once wave (2) completes, the wave (3) target is 1822, where (3)=1.62*(1).   I’m expecting minor 1 of major [A] to test the 1814 pivot before a minor 2 wave 50%/62% fib retrace bounce.  The alternate (blue) would go invalid on a move above 1902.

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15-min chart EOD 5-19-14

SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min chart EOD 5-19-14

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr chart EOD 5-19-14

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