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December 13th, 2013: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on December 13, 2013

4:50 pm EST:  The primary count is that wave (2) of minor 3 of major [5]-P3-C1 ended at the 62% fib retrace of 1772, which is typical wave 2 retracement.   However, there is a chance that the SPX will dip another 10 to 15 points early next week and hit the 78% fib retrace at 1761.   The rising 50-day SMA is also at 1762, so there is some confluence at that area.  Note that wave (2) and the primary count remain valid above the minor 2 low of 1746.  Once wave (2) completes, wave (3) should target 1856, where (3)=1.23*(1) and the next fib target is at 1882, where (3)=1.62*(1).  The minor 3 of major [5] target remains at 1905 and the major [5]-P3 target at 1941.

The alternate (blue) count is that P3-C1 topped at 1813 and a significant P4-C1 correction down towards the 1576 pivot is underway that will last several months.  The first wave down is minor 1 of major [A]-P4 and is likely headed for 1746 or below.  Wave (1) of minor 1 completed at 1779, wave (2) ended at 1812 and now wave (3) is headed for a target area of 1755, where (3)=1.62*(1).  This alternate (blue) count remains valid as long as wav (2) of minor 1 remains below 1814.

A move above 1813 will confirm the primary count and kill the alternate (blue) count as labeled.   If a move lower occurs before a move above 1813, then the critical level to watch for an intermediate term (IT) trend change is at 1746.

Have a great weekend !

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15-min chart 12-13-13

SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min chart 12-13-13

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr chart 12-13-13

SP-500 daily chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 daily chart 12-13-13

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