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December 6th, 2013: SP-500 EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on December 6, 2013

5:30 pm EST:  Very nice “gap and go” this morning pushing the SP-500 to very near an all-time high.   The kind of move you’d expect to begin a wave iii-(3)-3 wave higher.

The primary count is that wave (2) of minor 3 of major [5]-P3-C1 ended at the 50% fib retrace of 1779.   Wave i-(3) ended at 1796 and wave ii-(3) at 1783.  Wave iii-(3) is under with a target of 1855, where iii=4.21*i.   Wave iii-(3) should sub-divide into 5 small sub-minuette waves with wave 1-iii-(3) targeting the 1813 area (see 15-min chart for details).  The wave (3) fib target is at 1862 where (3)=1.23*(1) and the next fib target is at 1888, where (3)=1.62*(1).  The minor 3 of major [5] target remains at 1905 and the major [5]-P3 target at 1941.

The alternate (blue) count is that P3-C1 topped at 1813 and a significant P4-C1 correction down towards the 1576 pivot is underway that will last several months.  The first wave down is minor 1 of major [A]-P4 and is likely headed for 1746 or below.  Wave (1) of minor 1 completed at 1779, wave (2) ended today at 1806 and now wave (3) is headed for a target area of 1750, where (3)=1.62*(1).  This alternate (blue) count remains valid as long as wav (2) of minor 1 remains below 1813.

A move above 1813 will confirm the primary count and kill the alternate (blue) count as labeled.   If a move lower occurs before a move above 1813, then the critical level to watch for an intermediate term (IT) trend change is at 1746.

Have a great weekend  !!!

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15-min chart EOD 12-6-13

SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min chart EOD 12-6-13

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr chart EOD 12-6-13

SP-500 daily chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 daily chart EOD 12-6-13

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