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August 6th, 2013: EOD Update

Posted by pugsma on August 6, 2013

4:10 pm EST:  We a possible top of both wave counts at 1709.36.  A break below 1676.03 is required for confirmation.

For the primary count it looks like there could be one more small wave up above 1709 to complete wave (5) of minor 5 of major [5]-P3-C1 as long as wave (4) remains above 1691.85.  Assuming 1693 ended wave (4), the wave (5) target is between 1709, where (5)=(1) and 1719, where (5)=1.62(1).  A break below 1691.85 and then 1676.03 would indicate the top of P3-C1 is in place and P4-C1 down towards a 1485 target (38% retrace of P3) is underway.

The alternate (blue) is that wave minor 1 of major [5]-P3-C1 is complete at 1709.36.  Wave (a) of minor 2 is underway headed for the 1676 area.  From there a wave (b) bounce of about a 50% retrace to 1693 should occur, before (c) of minor 2 heads for 1639, where (c)=1.62(a).  The 50% retrace target for minor 2 is also in the same area a 1637.  From the minor 2 low the SP-500 will move toward 1779 to 1940 until the end of 2013 to early 2014 to complete P3-C1.

Note: I will take a break below 1560 to full confirm the primary count and eliminate the alternate (blue) count.

SP-500 15-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 15-min chart 8-6-13

SP-500 60-min chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 60-min chart 8-6-13

SP-500 4-hr chart (EOD):

PUG SP-500 4-hr chart 8-6-13

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