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August 31st, 2011: Update 1 – Morning

Posted by pugsma on August 31, 2011

12:30 pm EST :  And the updated Daily chart.

SP-500 Daily chart (12:30 pm):

12:05 pm EST:  And the updated 4-hr chart.

SP-500 4-hr chart (12:00 pm):

11:50 am EST:  And the 60-min chart update.

SP-500 60-min chart (11:45 am):

 11:35 am EST:  Here is the updated 15-min chart.  Rising wedge for minor major [W]-PB is starting to break down.  Need to close below 1219 pivot today to really get the major [X]-PB down to 1176 underway.

SP-500 15-min chart real-time link: http://www.freestockcharts.com?emailChartID=d368ab6c-6716-4af5-b57d-0fdddc90f11b

SP-500 15-min chart (11:30 am):

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10:50 am EST:  Bulls have control of this market now for a counter-trend rally and the intermediate trend is up on both the daily and weekly charts.   Primary B (PB) of Cycle 2 upward toward 1250/1281 is the primary count.   It will likely unfold as double Zig-Zag (ZZ), with the first ZZ major [W]-PB completing near the 1229 pivot where C=A.  Then a major [X]-PB move down to 1176 for a 50% retrace of [W]-PB.  Finally major [Y]-PB should move to 1281, where major [Y]=[W].

There are two even more bullish intermediate term scenarios, one of which is that PA bottomed at 1101 as a 3-wave move of 1371 and that PB will trace out a flat or expanded flat to 1371/1440.  I will add this to the charts tonight EOD.  The other is that 1101 was the Cycle 2 low and Cycle 3 is underway.  This later one we’ll keep in the back of minds for now and not chart it.

SP-500 5-min chart (10:42 am):

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