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Jan 21st, 2011: Update 2 – Morning

Posted by pugsma on January 21, 2011

11:45 am EST:  Beautiful 5-waves down and 3-waves up on ES Futures 60-min chart.

ES Futures 60-min chart (11:35 am):

10:20 am EST:  For the primary count, I’m looking at the 78% retrace of 1291 to top wave (2) of A-[2]-P3, along with the new speculative down channel shown on the 5 and 15-min charts.  Above the 1291 pivot resistance, I favor the alternate count for wave B of (2)-3-[3]-P3 where may be looking at the possibility of a flat to test 1296 or expanded flat to test 1302 (1.23*A), then a drop back towards the 1257 pivot for wave C.

Notice how weak the Russel-2000 small caps are today relative to the SP-500 and DOw-30.  They small caps have been leading this move lower, along with the Nasdaq.

SP-500 5-min chart (10:17 am):

SP-500 15-min chart (10:17 am):

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